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Thursday, March 31, 2011

Performance Review - Other than Portfolio

I recommended not to subscribe in PTC India Financial Services IPO and stock today closed at Rs. 24.65 which is 12% discount to its IPO price of Rs. 28

At the same time, I recommended to invest into PFC at Rs. 236 and today stock closed at Rs. 250 which is positive return of 6% . 

Happy Investing........

New Visitor - Recommended Portfolio

Those who are not following the blog since beginning, following table consists recommended portfolio.


Sr. No Equity % of Portfolio Value Reco. Date CMP
1 Reliance Infra 5 8-Feb-11 670
2 Reliance Ind 7.5 8-Feb-11 920
3 NHPC 7.5 8-Feb-11 24
4 POWERGRID 7.5 8-Feb-11 97.5
5 Financial Tech 10 8-Feb-11 750
6 GE Shipping 5 8-Feb-11 288
7 Coal India 5 8-Feb-11 305
8 Piramal Health 10 8-Feb-11 440
9 PNB 5 8-Feb-11 1025
10 Satyam 5 8-Feb-11 60
11 Indian Oil 5 8-Feb-11 325
12 Tata Steel 7.5 8-Feb-11 620
13 CESC 2.5 8-Feb-11 290
14 Gujarat Pipavav  2.5 8-Feb-11 54
15 Bajaj Holding 7.5 19-Feb-11 741
16 Cash 7.5 8-Feb-11 7.5

Portfolio has delivered positive return of 5.92% in 51 days.

Performance Review - Portfolio

  
Date 8-Feb-11 31-Mar-11 Return%
Nifty 5345 5834 +9.15
Nifty Junior 10525 11279 +7.16
Average

+8.16
My Portfolio 100 105.92 +5.92

Benchmark for My Portfolio is Average return of Nifty and Nifty Junior.

My portfolio has delivered positive return of 5.92% during this period but comparing it with its benchmark there is under performance by -27.45%.(5.92-8.16)*100/8.16

My target is to give out performance by +100% over a period of time.It is advisable not to get confuse with return % and out performance %.

Negative out performance % does not suggest there is loss. It is to be seen in relation with its benchmark to measure efficiency of Portfolio Manager.

Happy Investing.....








 

Wednesday, March 16, 2011

Portfolio - Addition

Allocate 50% of Cash to Bajaj Holding & Investments Limited i.e. 7.5% of Total Portfolio Size @ 741 CMP. Keep 7.5% cash on hand.

Happy Investing.....

PTC India Financial Services Ltd.

PTC India Financial Services IPO is opening today. As per RHP, Capital History is shown in following table.


Date No. of Shares Price Particulars
30/11/2006         3,000,006.00 10 PTC - Promoter
30/11/2006         1,000,000.00 10 PTC - Promoter




25/5/2007      50,000,000.00 10 PTC - Promoter
31/1/2008      18,000,002.00 16 GS Strategic Investments
31/1/2008      18,000,002.00 16 Macquaire India Holdings




10/4/2008      91,999,994.00 10 PTC - Promoter
10/4/2008      15,666,665.00 16 GS Strategic Investments
10/4/2008      15,666,665.00 16 Macquaire India Holdings




30/3/2009      10,000,000.00 10 PTC
30/3/2009    181,250,001.00 16 PTC




Preferential allottment is being made to GS Strategic and Macquaire  at Rs. 16/- in January & April 2008. Price of Rs. 16/- is at 60% premium than what promoter is ready to pay because Power Trading Corporation which is being promoter company allotted shares @ Rs. 10/- only in April 2008.

One natural natural question comes to mind how any investor can be convinced for making investment at such higher price than what promoter is being offering. It is possible when purblic issue timings were decided in advance at the time of preferential allottment. Now Macquaire is going to dilute its stake by selling 2.92 Crore shares resulting into average buying cost of Rs.11.27 if issue subscribes at Rs. 28. Now premium of 12.7% is justifiable to the price at which shares are being offered to promoter in 2008.

If we compare average buying cost year ended 31/3/2009, then, Investor got the shares at 14.75% discount i.e. at Rs. 11.27/- while average buying cost to Promoter is Rs. 13.22/-.

Why company not opted for IPO route in 2008 itself??? It may be because market was not willing to give such huge valuation which is being offered now and company was in need of fund. 

Post listing, it will be clear whether market is ready to give valuation what company is asking. But even if company does not get those valuation and shares got lists at 25% discount, who cares????? Nine months ended Dec. 2010 EPS is of Rs. 0.72 and we assume EPS of Rs. 1 for year ended March 2011 then company is asking for P/E of 28 times at upper band.

Power Finance Corporation EPS for nine month ended Dec. 2010 is Rs. 17.53 and we assume EPS of Rs. 23 for full year Ended March 2011. That results into P/E of just 10 times at the price of Rs. 236 today.

 Go for PFC...........Do not subscribe to PTC India Financial Services Ltd.

Happy Investing